11.18.2013

THE ISRAELI AND SAUDI HANDSHAKE

King Abdullah of Saudi Arabia
Rumors of an unlikely alliance against Iran

By R James Towe  james@sollicitus.us

Unlikely allies to be sure, but Middle East countries find themselves in a quandary.

Iran could be days or weeks from producing a nuclear warhead.

Saudi Arabia has denied any contact with Israel, as one would expect, but a report in The Sunday Times insists that the House of Saud has offered Israel use of Saudi airspace for an attack on Iranian nuclear facilities. The two countries appear prepared to ignore a bad agreement coming out of Switzerland.

'Munich 1938' echoes as the P5+1 almost beg for a deal with Iran, regardless of how irresponsible or inept the love fest may appear in five years, or even in a year, for that matter. Save France, these world leaders are living for the now, thinking of today's political expediency. Interestingly, the French refused a bad agreement in Geneva, temporarily blocking "peace for our time."

As President Obama relinquishes the Pax Americana, adversaries from Russia to Venezuela view American weakness as an opportunity to establish their own hegemony. No one is unclenching their fists, except for the USA.

Israel has built and nurtured relationships in preparation for the worst, including an airbase agreement with Azerbaijan. Rights to Azerbaijani airbases would remove the distance obstacle were Israel to attack. Israeli war planes would avoid the risk involved in mid-air refueling, as the US believes Israel lacks the sophistication to undertake such an operation over hostile territory.

While the Bush Administration invaded Afghanistan and Iraq, the real threat sat between the two. The rumor was that President Bush believed American forces on either side of Iran would scare the Ayatollah into the 21st century.  Rather than driving fear into the Supreme Leader, America lost thousands of men and women, trillions of dollars and any appetite among the US public for another Mid East occupation. Advantage: Iran.

Now, with an American president who seems almost sympathetic to the Islamic Republic (failing to make any gestures toward the 2010 Green Revolution), it's abundantly clear that the American military option will be left on the table, will remain on the table and eventually tucked away in a dusty drawer.

So now tiny Israel, with no bunker busting bomb capability and lacking long range bombers has to go it alone. Will they? Few know. Though it's never a good idea to bet against Israel.